New York Mets Team Health Report 2011 - Will Carroll - SI.com

Without a solid backup, Thole is going to have to take on a greater role this year, like it or not. Terry Collins does seem to like him, so there is that, but keeping him healthy is going to require some off time, especially if they want to keep his bat going.

The only real knock on Davis is that he doesn't have much of a track record. He was solid in his rookie campaign, and assuming he can build on it, Davis is likely to make this low yellow seem silly.

Reyes' 2010 was the one bright spot for the Mets' medical staff. He missed time early in the season with a thyroid condition and then an oblique strain, but once he got back, he looked like the Jose Reyes of old, especially with the steals. He's in a contract year, which can only help, though any leg injury would sap some value.

In what should have been the peak of his career, Wright dealt with monster expectations and a team crumbling around him. That he missed time with a concussion and some other minor things shouldn't work against him quite so much, but The System didn't like that Wright couldn't get back to his previous norms. This level suggests he'll decline to a 140-game guy before he's 30. That's not bad, but has to be factored in to his inflated value.

Pagan seems to get hurt at the worst times, just as he's on a hot streak or when someone else gets injured and he could establish himself. That's just a nicer way of saying "injury-prone" and if he's shifted to CF, it's a pattern that's likelier to repeat. He showed in '10 what he could do if he could just stay healthy.

Pelfrey might be a Saberhagen, good only in even years, but he's also a test case for pitching geeks. He throws a sinking fastball but needs his splitter working to be effective. One sinks, the other drops, and no, that's not the same thing in baseball parlance. He bounced off the 190-innings mark last time he did it, so he's risky this time around, though it might be a risk worth taking at the right value.

It wasn't his crazy mechanics that did him in, but a crazy fight that's explanation seems like an episode of Jerry Springer. The System doesn't understand such things and looks at you with a bit of superiority, knowing you knew exactly what I meant when I said "Jerry Springer." Rodriguez is as risky as ever, but that's not as much as most would expect.

Source: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com